image via National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association

Tropical Storm Arlene has formed and is heading – South?

A disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico was upgraded to Tropical Storm Arlene on Friday — the first named storm of the brand new hurricane season. Arlene is forecast to reach the coast of Cuba by Saturday evening. The system reached wind speeds of 40 mph Friday, which exceeded the 39 mph threshold for tropical storms, the National Hurricane Center reported. To become a hurricane, it would have to reach wind speeds of 74 mph. The system first formed Tuesday southeast of Louisiana as a disorganized cluster of thunderstorms. As it traveled eastward towards the Florida panhandle, it slowed and gained power. Thursday afternoon, it made a turn to the south and became a tropical depression. NHC meteorologists wrote in a weather update that the tropical storm should lose strength Saturday and likely dissipate by Sunday morning.

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Arlene formed on the second day of the hurricane season.

Hurricane season began Thursday and ends November 30. In its May forecast for the season, NHC meteorologists predicted there could be up to 17 named storms, five to nine hurricanes and one to four major hurricanes of category three or higher. The forecast took into consideration that El Niño conditions will likely come back late this summer. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation is a weather condition that changes the Pacific Ocean’s temperature. During El Niño, this results in more wind shear over the Atlantic Ocean, which makes it harder for tropical storms to develop. The next tropical storm will be named Bret, followed by Cindy, Don and Emily. Here’s the full list of 2023 tropical storm names.

Cuba getting a visit from the north if it lasts that long.

Hurricane Season 2023 – 03 June 2023