Hurricane forecasters on Tuesday were tracking two systems, including a disturbance that’s heading into the Atlantic.
(Image via National Hurricane Center)

The normal update is back and there are two building and one that my be trouble.

Hurricane forecasters on Tuesday were tracking two disturbances, including one heading into the Caribbean. Both could develop into tropical depressions this week, according to the National Hurricane Center. The next available name is Julia if either strengthens into a tropical storm. It’s too early to tell if the one heading into the Caribbean could eventually reach the Gulf of Mexico and be a threat to Louisiana. The other disturbance in the Atlantic does not currently pose a threat to the U.S. mainland. Here’s the latest from the National Hurricane Center as of 7 a.m. Tuesday.

image via National Hurricane Center

Tropical depression possible

A tropical depression could form by late this week or this weekend in the Caribbean Sea, forecasters said. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter crew is scheduled to investigate the system later in the day, if needed. As of 7 a.m., the tropical wave was a few hundred miles east of the southern Windward Islands, and environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for gradual development. Showers associated with a disturbance have increased overnight, but there are not any signs of “significant organization,” forecasters said. The system is forecast to move west at 15 mph, reaching the Windward Islands later in the day and then the eastern Caribbean Sea by the middle of the week. It has a 40% chance of developing into a tropical depression within five days.

image via National Hurricane Center

Disturbance in Atlantic

Forecasters also are tracking a disturbance in the Atlantic that is likely to develop into a tropical depression in the next day or so. As of 7 a.m., the system was a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. It’s moving northwest at 10 mph. Conditions are currently favorable for gradual development, forecasters said, adding that the system has an 80% chance of developing into a tropical depression within 48 hours. However, further development is not expected after Wednesday and Thursday due to environmental conditions.

WE are overdue so the one heading to the Caribbean is worth watching.

Hurricane update for 04 October 2022