(Image via National Hurricane Center)
Today’s submission has 4 that are being watched and the one we need to look at is the yellow line that has not formed yet.
Hurricane forecasters on Tuesday morning were tracking four disturbances in the Atlantic, including Hurricane Danielle and Tropical Storm Earl. Neither of the named storms pose a threat to Louisiana. The tropics have come alive after a month-long lull, with early September historically being the busiest time of hurricane season. No named storms formed in August, which is only the third time that’s happened since 1950. Meanwhile, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico are expected to stay quiet for the next 48 hours, forecasters said. Here’s what to know about the tropics as of noon a.m. Tuesday from the National Hurricane Center.
Hurricane Danielle slows down.
Hurricane Danielle poses no threat to land, according to the National Hurricane Center. As of 10 a.m., Danielle was about 805 miles northwest of the Azores. The storm is expected to stay over the open Atlantic during the next couple days, forecasters said. It slowed down Tuesday and is moving northeast at 6 mph. It’s expected to pick up some speed later in the day and then turn counter-clockwise by the end of the week. Winds are near 75 mph, and it is expected to begin gradually weakening during the next several days, meteorologists said. It poses no immediate threat to land, and no coastal watches or warnings were in effect Tuesday.
Tropical Storm Earl streghtens.
Tropical Storm Earl is expected to strengthen into a hurricane as it heads toward Bermuda, forecasters said Tuesday morning. As of 10 a.m., it was about 370 north of St. Thomas an about 595 miles south of Bermuda. It’s moving north at 5 mph. It has winds of 65 mph and is expected to strengthen into a hurricane later this week. Peak winds of 115 mph are forecast, which would make it a Category 3 hurricane. No coastal watches or warnings are in effect, but forecasters said Bermuda residents should monitor the storm.
Disturbance near Cabo Verde.
A tropical depression could form in a few days from a system that’s by the Cabo Verde Islands, forecasters said in their 7 a.m. tropical outlook. The system is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms from the Cabo Verde Islands to the waters several hundred miles southwest. The disturbance is expected to move west to northwest at 15 to 20 mph. It has a 60% chance of developing into a tropical depression within five days. The shaded area on the graphic is where a storm could develop and is not a track. The National Hurricane Center releases a track when a tropical depression forms or is about to form. The categories, in order of increasing strength, are tropical depression, tropical storm and hurricane (categories 1 through 5). Systems are named when they develop into a tropical storm. The next available name is Fiona.
Tropical wave by Africa.
Hurricane forecasters are tracking a tropical wave that’s over western Africa and is expected to move over the Atlantic in a day or two. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for some slow development, meteorologists said, as it moves northwest over the Atlantic. It has a 20% chance of developing into at a tropical depression within five days.
This is the busiest time of the year and we have had quiet for too long. I wonder about this disturbance as while I know the shaded is not a track it is where they expect it to go and it is aiming for the Caribbean.
This is historically the busiest time of the Atlantic hurricane season. In the last 100 years, the tropics have been the most active in August, September and October, with Sept. 10 being the peak of the season, according to federal forecasters. About 80% of the systems that have hit the Gulf Coast formed during this time, according to the National Weather Service in Slidell. So far, there have been five named storms this season – Alex, Bonnie, Colin, Danielle and Earl. The next available name is Fiona. Hurricane season ends Nov. 30, but storms can form any time.
I will stop here as the rest has been shown in the early messages I posted. I am doing this as a public service! Just keeping us up to date.
